Same mission, same citizens, same shocks. The agency on the left keeps buying technology the way federal agencies buy it today. The one on the right adopts the strategy you choose, with the time it realistically takes to change. Step through the years and watch where work piles up, who does it, and what citizens experience. Or skip ahead and see all four strategies compared, year by year.
Run the simulation
Green moves time. Violet sets the strategy. Grey is information.
Click a year to jump there. Click an event to switch it off or on. Every view restores exactly to that point in time.
Move across a chart to read both agencies at any month.
Set the strategy
No agency changes overnight. Measures change first, funding at the next fiscal year, contracts at recompete, accreditation last; staffing and platforms move gradually. Any change restarts both agencies at year 0; the violet figure under each gauge is where that agency lands by year 10.
A system-dynamics model stepped one month at a time. It is directional, not a forecast. Every rate is visible and disputable; the status quo is calibrated to published federal averages, not to any one agency.
Status quo calibrations draw on the federal IT Dashboard (O&M versus development spending), GAO's high-risk reporting on federal IT, OPM FedScope counts of the 2210 IT series, the UK Government's State of Digital Government review, and OMB Circular A-11 Section 280 for the citizen experience measures. No agency's data is used directly. A Clerecy working model.